Pulse · 脉冲
AI 工具 × 实时数据
登录 / 注册
← 全部预测市场
GeopoliticsWorldIranPoliticsMiddle EastTrump截止 2026年12月31日

美国在2026年承认礼萨·巴列维为伊朗领导人?

原文:US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
8.5%chance5%
Yes
8.5%-5.00pp
24h 成交量
$131
总成交量 · Vol
$602,024
流动性
$29,881
市场描述
EN · 原文
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the "leader of Iran" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for "leader of Iran" status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "prime minister," or other similar roles that give him primary executive authority in the territory of Iran. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualifie
(长描述已截断,完整描述见原页面)
← 返回市场列表查看原始数据来源(Polymarket) ↗

相关市场

PoliticsGlobal Elections
4/12

秘鲁总统选举获胜者

Peru Presidential Election Winner
领先 / 49 个子市场
Roberto Sánchez Palomino会赢得2026年秘鲁总统大选吗?
7%-3.1pp
24h: $7.7M总: $91.5M
IranTrump
12/31

美伊永久和平协议截止...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
领先 / 17 个子市场
美国与伊朗在2026年6月30日前达成永久和平协议?
19%
24h: $4.5M总: $277.4M
Economic PolicyJerome Powell
6/17

美联储6月决策?

Fed Decision in June?
领先 / 5 个子市场
美联储在 2026 年 6 月会议后降息 50 个基点以上?
0%
24h: $2.9M总: $75.9M
IranIsrael
5/31

以色列在……前关闭领空?

Israel closes its airspace by...?
领先 / 12 个子市场
以色列在6月15日前关闭领空?
19%
24h: $1.6M总: $11.9M
World ElectionsGlobal Elections
11/7

2028年民主党总统候选人

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
领先 / 128 个子市场
奥普拉·温弗瑞会赢得2028年民主党总统提名吗?
1%
24h: $1.5M总: $1191.0M
PoliticsGeopolitics

美国宣布新的伊朗协议/停火延长至...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
领先 / 17 个子市场
美国宣布新的伊朗协议/停火延长至6月30日前?
44%-1.0pp
24h: $1.3M总: $32.0M
⚠️ 数据说明