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GeopoliticsWorldKhameneiIranMiddle EastIsrael截止 2026年6月30日

伊朗政权能否在美国军事打击中幸存?

原文:Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
97.6%chance5%
Yes
97.6%+5.10pp
24h 成交量
$10,188
总成交量 · Vol
$1,013,461
流动性
$187,616
市场描述
EN · 原文
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both of the following conditions are met by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 1. The US initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US military on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g.
(长描述已截断,完整描述见原页面)
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