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shipsEconomyIran CeasefiretransitIranPolitics截止 2026年12月31日

霍尔木兹海峡交通在12月31日前恢复正常?

原文:Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
76.5%chance3%
Yes
76.5%-3.00pp
24h 成交量
$88,775
总成交量 · Vol
$814,841
流动性
$174,801
市场描述
EN · 原文
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-
(长描述已截断,完整描述见原页面)
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