Pulse · 脉冲
AI 工具 × 实时数据
登录 / 注册
← 全部预测市场
Climate & ScienceEarthquakesWeatherNatural DisastersScience截止 2027年3月31日

2026 年将发生多少次大型火山喷发(VEI ≥4)?

原文:How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
2026 年全球是否恰好有 2 次确认的 VEI 4 或以上火山喷发?
4.2%chance0%
← 返回多曲线对比
2026 年全球是否恰好有 2 次确认的 VEI 4 或以上火山喷发?
4.2%-0.50pp
Top 6 子市场
点击切换图表
24h 成交量
$2
总成交量 · Vol
$1,145,635
流动性
$2,454
市场描述
EN · 原文
This market will resolve according to the number of natural volcanic eruptions with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 4 or higher between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), specifically the cumulative figures for 2026 for VEI 4, VEI 5, and VEI 6 released on the page currently titled "Eruptions Avg 2000-2024 (N/T)" (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?questio
(长描述已截断,完整描述见原页面)
← 返回市场列表查看原始数据来源(Polymarket) ↗

相关市场

CulturePolitics
12/31

美国会在___之前确认外星人存在吗?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
领先 / 6 个子市场
美国会在2027年之前确认外星人存在吗?
14%
24h: $516K总: $50.8M
WeatherRecurring
6/10

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 10?

24h: $288K总: $317K
WeatherRecurring⚠️ 下跌 90.0pp
6/10

Highest temperature in Seoul on June 10?

24h: $241K总: $274K
RecurringHide From New
6/10

Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 10?

24h: $148K总: $161K
WeatherRecurring
6/10

Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 10?

24h: $90K总: $118K
WeatherRecurring
6/10

Highest temperature in Beijing on June 10?

24h: $88K总: $102K
⚠️ 数据说明