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OilIranTrumpHormuzGeopoliticsU.S. x Iran截止 2026年7月1日

到6月30日,某天会有__艘船通过霍尔木兹海峡吗?

原文:Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
到2026年6月30日,某天会有40艘船通过霍尔木兹海峡吗?
21.5%chance17%
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到2026年6月30日,某天会有40艘船通过霍尔木兹海峡吗?
21.5%-17.00pp
Top 4 子市场
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24h 成交量
$47,750
总成交量 · Vol
$136,134
流动性
$28,515
市场描述
EN · 原文
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. Data for a specific date must be finalized before i
(长描述已截断,完整描述见原页面)
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